6th International Young Scientist Congress (IYSC-2020) will be Postponed to 8th and 9th May 2021 Due to COVID-19. 10th International Science Congress (ISC-2020).  International E-publication: Publish Projects, Dissertation, Theses, Books, Souvenir, Conference Proceeding with ISBN.  International E-Bulletin: Information/News regarding: Academics and Research

Forecasting of Rice Production in Bangladesh

Author Affiliations

  • 1Lecturer of Statistics, Department of Natural Science, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, BNAGLADESH

Res. J. Agriculture & Forestry Sci., Volume 1, Issue (7), Pages 15-17, August,8 (2013)

Abstract

The present study was undertaken to find out appropriate model using seven contemporary model selection criteria that could best describe the growth pattern of rice production in Bangladesh during the time periods 1971-72 to 2004-05. It appeared from the study that the best fitted model for rice production in Bangladesh was quadratic linear and cubic model. It means that the assumption of constant annual rate of growth in percent that lies behind the use of exponential/compound model was not true for the growth pattern of rice production in Bangladesh.

References

  1. BSS, (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics), Various Issues,Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh, (2006)
  2. Wadud M.M.A., Maniruzzaman F.M., Satter M.A., AzizMiah M.A., Paul S.K. and Haque K.R., AgriculturalResearch in Bangladesh in the 20th Century (ed). BARC, Dhaka, Bangladesh and Bangladesh Academy ofAgriculture, (2001)
  3. Pindyck R.L. and D.L, Ribinfeld, Econometric Models andEconomic Forecasts, 3rd edition, Mcgraw-Hill Inc., NewYork, 230-236 (1991)
  4. Akter M. and W.M.H. Jaim, Changes in the major foorgrains production in Bangladesh and their sources duringthe period from 1979/80 to 1998/99, The BangladeshJournal of Agricultural Economics, 25(1), 1-16 (2002)
  5. Barua P. and Alam S., Growth, price instability andflexibility of major crops in Bangladesh, The BangladeshJournal of Agricultural Economics, 23(1&2), 103-114(2000)
  6. Jabber, M.A. and R.P. Jones., The Growth of MV RiceProduction and Adoption in Bangladesh. The BangladeshJournal of Agricultural Economics, 20(2) , 1-19 (1997)
  7. Hossain M., Foodgrain Production in Bangladesh:Performance, Potential and Constraints. The BangladeshDevelopment Studies, 8(1 & 2), 39-70 (1980)
  8. Hossain M., Increasing Food Availability in Bangladesh:Constraint and Posiibilities, A report prepared for theMinistry of Agriculture, Government of the People’sRepublic of Bangladesh, and ILO, Geneva, (1984)
  9. Mahmud W. and Muqtada, Institutional Factors andTechnological Innovate, The case of HYV Rice inBangladesh, ILO World Employent Program, Staffworking, (1983)
  10. Gujarati D.N., Basic Econometrics, 4th edition, McgrawHillInc., New York, 23-26 (2003)
  11. Akaike H., Information, Theory and Extension of theMaximum Likelihood Proncipal. In 2nd InternationalSymposium in Information, B.N. Petroc and F. Caski, eds.,Budapest, 25-129 (1973)
  12. Granger C.W.T. and P. Newbold, Forecasting EconomicsTime Series, 2nd edition, Academic Press Inc., Orlando,Florida, (1986)
  13. Haque M.E., M.I. Hossain and K.M.M. Rahman, Searchingfor the Best Fitting Deterministic Model for InnovativeGrowth Analysis and Forecasting of Rice Production inBangladesh. The Bangladesh Journal of AgriculturalEconomics, 27(1) , 15-35 (2004)
  14. Haque M.E., M.I. Hossain and M.F. Imam, The Best FittingDeterministic Model for Innovative Growth Analysis, andForecasting of Rice Production in Bangladesh. Journal ofBangladesh Soc. Agric. Sci. Technol. 2(1&2), 227-234(2005)